PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31, 2026 28%
December 31, 2026 28%Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2144,5 €
Liquidität
1170,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
22.0% / 27.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
7. Okt. 26, 09:36 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
UBS headquartered outside Switzerland by end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA?
KalshiWill it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?
KalshiWhich Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?
KalshiRegeln
On September 23, 2026, Switzerland's upper house of parliament voted to raise UBS's capital requirements for its foreign subsidiaries, prompting speculation that UBS could move its headquarters out of Switzerland.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if UBS Group AG ("UBS"), or an official representative of UBS, publicly announces that UBS will move its global headquarters or legal domicile, or those of its successor ultimate parent company, out of Switzerland between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The following will qualify: - An announcement from UBS or an official representative of UBS expressing that UBS has decided to move. - An announced agreed merger, acquisition, or adopted reorganization under which the ultimate parent company of UBS or of the combined group would be headquartered or domiciled outside Switzerland.
- The following will not qualify: - Statements that UBS is considering a move, could move, or would move depending on the outcome of Switzerland's capital requirements legislation. - An unsolicited acquisition proposal or preliminary transaction discussions. - Adding a headquarters outside Switzerland while keeping one in Switzerland, unless the legal domicile also moves out of Switzerland. - Moving only a subsidiary or business unit.
- No shareholder or regulatory approval of the move is required, and a qualifying announcement will count regardless of whether or when the move actually occurs.