PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 24%
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
387,9 €
Liquidität
945 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
23.0% / 24.0%
Spread
4.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
9. Juli 26, 2:1131. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes24%
Verwandte Märkte
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district
43,7 €Kristie Bruce-Lane: 30.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?
874,8 €Ja: 4.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
74.572,5 €Missouri: 62%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Rain in Dallas in Jul 2026?
14.364,9 €Above 3 inches: 24%KALSHI
KALSHI
Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?
11.010 €Above 2 inches: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2302,9 €1st hottest: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump calls Nicki Minaj “hot” between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- Comparative words like “hotter” and “hottest” (e.g. “She’s hotter than me”) will not count.
- Nouns containing “hot” like “hotty” will not count.
- Portmanteaus (words blended from two words where parts of each are combined) do not qualify unless the portmanteau clearly contains “hot” as a distinct, unaltered element.
- A direct reference to Nicki Minaj will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject.