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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

1.2% (24h)KIOne-OffSpaceCorporate Actions1J
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
SpaceX
SpaceX 88%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

1758,1 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

86.0% / 89.7%

Spread

4.3%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

+0.6%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

30. Jan. 26, 23:1931. Dez. 27, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

SpaceX88%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
  • This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
  • This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
  • This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
  • Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,9 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

86,7 €
SpaceX: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

90,8 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

74,7 €
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 72.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

100.659,9 €
June 30: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

60.620,5 €
2.0T-2.5T: 47%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,036.61+2.83%EthereumETH$1,660.29+2.01%SolanaSOL$65.58+3.16%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.84%BNBBNB$600.09+2.76%XRPXRP$1.12+1.22%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regeln

This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
  • This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
  • This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
  • This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
  • Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.