Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
$2.00–$2.25 85%-4.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
739,5 €
Liquidität
46.872,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
84.0% / 86.0%
Spread
2.4%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-1.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
15. Juni 26, 18:5115. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
$2.00–$2.2585%
Volumentrend
$8452. Juli6T Daten7. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
123,5 €0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75): 37.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
87,5 €Ja: 15.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
50 €July Meeting: 30.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
0,2 €Above 6.7%: 56%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
0 €$7.000+: 82%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed Decision in July?
3 Mio. €No change: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
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Kocher flags easing inflation as Polymarket cuts 2026 Fed hike odds to 54.5%Blockchain.News
U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News
BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News
Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S.
- City Average" lies when the June data point is published by the St.
- Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
- Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- The June release is presently scheduled for July 14, 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St.