PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Shankar Balasubramanian 22%Führend unter 30 Optionen
Shankar Balasubramanian 22%Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3162,9 €
Liquidität
12.535,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 33 Minuten
6. Okt. 26, 09:00 UTC8. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026
KalshiWill a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
Manifold MarketsWill Bradley Voytek ever win the Atkinson Prize in Psychological and Cognitive Sciences?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben Golub [Northwestern U prof] ever win the nobel prize in economics
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The Nobel Prize in Chemistry is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- The 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is scheduled to be announced on October 7, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The prize may be shared by up to three laureates.
- A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026 · Tao Zhang 54%
