PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 99%+0.3%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
47.837,2 €
Liquidität
58.002 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
78.0% / 79.0%
Spread
1.3%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-13.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
1. Juli 26, 22:4931. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3199%
Große Trades
$1.0k19.6%POLYMARKETWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? — Nowhatamidoinggvor 10 Std.
POLYMARKETWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? — Nowhatamidoinggvor 10 Std.Volumentrend
$54.6k2. Juli20T Daten22. Juli
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus.
- Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.