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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

1.6% (24h)KIOne-Off16T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30
June 30 92%+0.4%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1819,4 €

Liquidität

14.559,3 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.3% / 3.9%

Spread

1200.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-13.9%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

30. Apr. 26, 0:1430. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
May 31
May 31
0%
May 8
May 8
0%
May 22
May 22
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 3092%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,650.66+0.04%EthereumETH$1,667.53-0.82%SolanaSOL$66.62-0.50%DogecoinDOGE$0.0875+1.11%BNBBNB$603.93-0.04%XRPXRP$1.13-0.86%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.