PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 94%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
6,8 €
Liquidität
251,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.9% / 7.7%
Spread
2.8 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+2.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Nov. 25, 21:3231. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes6%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 93% | +86pt | 19 € | 27.813,3 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | Niedrig | 94% | +87pt | 6,8 € | 251,3 € | vor 7 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
1.0 pts5Mon
93%
+1.0pt7%
65 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen68.486,9 €
24h-Volumen19 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
- This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$815. Juli11T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
622.220,6 €280-299: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
209.080,8 €220-239: 21%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by which date?
94.643,5 €September 30: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
36.691,4 €Ja: 14%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Rain in Chicago in Jul 2026?
24.900 €Above 4 inches: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will it rain on Jul 28, 2026?
24.331,6 €Phoenix: 18%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter
Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt
Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt
Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
- This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.