Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1.20–1.24ºC 86%-3.5ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1491 €
Liquidität
11.088,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 9.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
9. Juni 26, 17:141. Aug. 26, 3:59
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
1.20–1.24ºC86%
Volumentrend
$1.7k5. Juli23T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
61,5 €July 2026 less than 1.095C: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4607,1 €SpaceX: 87%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
3257,1 €1st hottest: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2619,6 €2: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
346,6 €Ja: 31%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
39,7 €Ja: 31%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.