Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit Effectively Banned?
9.2 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahlMiddle East1Mon
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Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
23. Sept. 26, 20:10 UTC27. Okt. 26, 21:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list.
- This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
- A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify.
