PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
54.0–54.9 34.6%+9.5ptFührend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2726,3 €
Liquidität
3963,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
35.0 pt
Breiter SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
4. Aug. 26, 22:201. Sept. 26, 6:00
Trends
Regeln
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Offene Märkte
Macro & Economy
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-7.0pt40%
- Above $4.80-9.0pt30%
- Above $5.00-5.0pt22%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 19.042,1 €
KALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million+4.0pt94%
- Above 140 million-3.0pt80%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 37.282 €
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Inflation+3.0pt91%
- Task Force+8.0pt88%
- Productivity+2.0pt82%
+26 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6722,6 €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000+1.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the federal gas tax be suspended?
- Before Jan 1, 2027+2.0pt17%
- Before Jul 1, 20261%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 249.497,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5152,8 €
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
- Harvard federal sponsored revenue in FY2026?
- Bank of Korea decision in August?
- Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Will Rhode Island home prices rise YoY?
- How many IMF posts on X this week?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet 54.0–54.9 mit 35% (Stand: 25. August 2026).
- Wann wird ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 entschieden?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 soll am 1. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).