PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic Party 70.3%-7.5pt
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
18.107,6 €
Liquidität
33.633,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
70.0% / 72.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
16. Dez. 25, 17:04 UTC4. Nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Offene Märkte
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
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- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für IA-01 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket bewertet Democratic Party mit 70% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird IA-01 House Election Winner entschieden?
- IA-01 House Election Winner soll am 4. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird IA-01 House Election Winner abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.