PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
$40+ 59%Führend unter 4 Optionen
$40+ 59%Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
324,3 €
Liquidität
1349,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 08:55 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketClaude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketGPT Sol 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketClaude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketWill the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?
Manifold MarketsHow low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
