PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRepublican Party 79.2%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
20.099,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
79.0% / 80.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 42 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 20:203. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republican Party80%
Plattformen vergleichen· Republican Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 80% | 0pt | 0 € | 20.099,4 € | vor 42 Minuten | |
 Kalshi60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 85% | +5pt | 0 € | 1816 € | vor 42 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
FL-04 House winner?
1J
84.2%
15.8%
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen5112,2 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$403. Juli17T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Presidential Election Winner 2028
1,3 Mio. €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
438.043,8 €James Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
343.440,7 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
240.213,3 €Haley Stevens: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
165.295,1 €David Crowley: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
131.540,7 €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.