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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Central Banks
  3. ECB Interest Rates: July 2026
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

14.0% (24h)One-OffCentral Banks1Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
No change
No change 75%-16.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

6246,4 €

Liquidität

47.681,7 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

18.0% / 24.0%

Spread

33.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+1.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

30. Apr. 26, 18:3223. Juli 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
50+ bps increase
50+ bps increase
0%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

No change75%

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%

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Regeln

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).