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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. Claude Mythos released on…?
Claude Mythos released on…?

Claude Mythos released on…?

KIOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: On or prior to June 9 (100%)

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
On or prior to June 9
On or prior to June 9 100%
Führend unter 23 Optionen
Marktqualitat

72 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

18.602,8 €

Liquidität

0 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

99.7% / 100.0%

Spread

0.3%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vorgestern

Veraltet
9. Juni 26, 1:2630. Juni 26, 0:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

On or prior to June 9100%
June 135%
June 180%
June 2320%
June 2819%
June 1419%
June 1923%
June 2421%
June 2919%
June 1024%
June 1521%
June 203%
June 2521%
June 3020%
June 1216%
June 1721%
June 2221%
June 2723%
June 1137%
June 1623%
June 213%
June 2618%
Not released by June 301%
0%25%50%75%100%9. Juni9. Juni9. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
On or prior to June 9
On or prior to June 9
100%
June 13
June 13
0%
June 18
June 18
0%
June 23
June 23
0%
June 28
June 28
0%
June 14
June 14
0%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.

Polymarket
  • Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution.
  • Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
  • The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
  • A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
  • The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Verwandte Märkte

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

160.167,5 €
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

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Best AI model on June 13?

Best AI model on June 13?

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When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6081 €
By Dec 31, 2025: 74%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will anthropic be up a week from now?

1005,1 €
Ja: 68.7%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Best AI this week

Best AI this week

902,7 €
ChatGPT: 1%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,532.66+0.32%EthereumETH$1,666.61-0.12%SolanaSOL$66.77+0.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0877+1.94%BNBBNB$604.24+0.53%XRPXRP$1.13+0.07%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.

Polymarket
  • Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution.
  • Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
  • The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
  • A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
  • The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.