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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?
Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

33.8% (24h)KIOne-Off6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1520+
1520+ 99%+17.1%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

100 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

120.599,4 €

Liquidität

98.412,5 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

97.6% / 99.0%

Spread

1.4%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten

9. Juni 26, 1:1831. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

1520+99%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Claude Mythos model added to the Arena.AI Coding Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the Coding leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard whose official name includes “Mythos” will qualify.
  • A model whose official name does not include “Mythos” may also qualify if Anthropic officially and unambiguously identifies it as a “Mythos-class” model or substantially similar Mythos variant.
  • Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, Opus, or another non-Mythos variant will not qualify unless Anthropic separately provides such official Mythos identification.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,710.65+1.66%EthereumETH$1,653.76+0.84%SolanaSOL$64.97+0.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.74%BNBBNB$597.26+1.49%XRPXRP$1.11-0.27%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Claude Mythos model added to the Arena.AI Coding Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the Coding leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard whose official name includes “Mythos” will qualify.
  • A model whose official name does not include “Mythos” may also qualify if Anthropic officially and unambiguously identifies it as a “Mythos-class” model or substantially similar Mythos variant.
  • Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, Opus, or another non-Mythos variant will not qualify unless Anthropic separately provides such official Mythos identification.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.