PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 60%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
36,9 €
Liquidität
7444,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.5% / 0.6%
Spread
20.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
20. Apr. 26, 21:261. Jan. 27, 5:00
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3160%
Plattformen vergleichen· December 31
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteAktivste | 60% | 0pt | 36,9 € | 7444,4 € | vor 12 Minuten | |
 Limitless | 61% | +1pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Limitless
Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?
5Mon
1.1%
36.5%
61.3%
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen404,1 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSRegeln
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$423. Juli4T Daten8. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
22.046,9 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5365,4 €Ja: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
1725,5 €Ja: 2.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?
285,5 €Ja: 16.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSFTX US Recovery %
283,2 €Ja: 97.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
10,9 €Above 60: 38%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Crypto ATM bans, restrictions now in effect in Tennessee and GeorgiaCointelegraph
Taiwan Passes Sweeping Crypto Law With Licensing, Stablecoin RulesDecrypt
Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph
Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block
Utorg Obtains MiCA License as July 1 Deadline Forces Much of the Industry Out of EuropeBlockchain Reporter
Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindeskRegeln
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.