Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2 72%-9.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
3966 €
Liquidität
53.389,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
71.0% / 72.0%
Spread
1.4%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-15.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
6. Juli 26, 22:0731. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
272%
Volumentrend
$4.5k7. Juli20T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
122.455,6 €United Russia (ER): 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
79.084,5 €Marine Le Pen: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
29.661,2 €Count Binface: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton By-Election - Winner
3084,3 €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETS
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
3003,7 €Ja: 6.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
465,1 €Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]: 30.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
- This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
- No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
- A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies.