Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 98%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2974,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.4% / 2.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
9. Apr. 26, 13:54 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
KalshiWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
- If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify.
- Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Offene Märkte
BitcoinKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.2pt100%
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000-0.7pt97%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 319.926 €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+15.0pt81%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+8.0pt76%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? entschieden?
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.