2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
1.3% (24h)SpaceOne-OffTrade PolicyGeopolitikMiddle East1Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 1%-0.0%
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
1856,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.2% / 2.6%
Spread
1200.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
25. Nov. 25, 22:001. Sept. 26, 23:59
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Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes1%
Volumentrend
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Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope.
- Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year.
- Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first two quarters of 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” reports for Q1 & Q2 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx).