PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 1%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
6005,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.8% / 1.1%
Spread
37.5%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.3%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
25. Nov. 25, 22:0730. Juni 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes1%
Verwandte Märkte
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
776,9 €June 30: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
5,9 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
0 €~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026: 15%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
4,5 Mio. €December 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
2,8 Mio. €July 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4587,1 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope.
- Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year.
- Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first two quarters of 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” reports for Q1 & Q2 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx).