Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 97.4%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet18. Aug. 26, 09:59 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030?
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MyriadRegeln
The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.
- As debates around global population growth, resource sustainability, and shifting fertility rates intensify across social platforms, this market tracks a major near-term milestone: the world population officially crossing 8.3 billion.
- ### Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2028, at 00:00 UTC, the United Nations Population Division (or its official real-time data instruments backed by UN DESA) reports or estimates that the global human population has reached or exceeded 8,300,000,000.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2028, provided no such official figure has been published by the UN prior to that date.
- ### Fine Print & Edge Cases
Offene Märkte
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- No82%
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- No95%
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POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 136.182,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 247 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? entschieden?
- Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.