Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 59.9%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet9. Jan. 23, 18:13 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegeln
Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Offene Märkte
Ethereum
LIMITLESSETH Up or Down - Daily
- No63.6%
- Yes36.4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 265.293,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 265.293,9 €
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 132.885,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 110.761,6 €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in September?
- ↑ 2,500+28.9pt100%
- ↓ 2,400100%
- ↑ 2,400100%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
- ↑ 2,500100%
- ↓ 2,450100%
- ↑ 2,5502%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55.614,8 €
POLYMARKETWhat chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Base+1.6pt96%
- No launch-0.4pt3%
- Solana+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- What price will Ethereum hit September 7-13?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- How high will ETH get in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 10?
- How low will Ethereum get in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 13?
- ETH price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Ethereum price on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 14?
- Ethereum price at the end of 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum.