Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet3. Juli 24, 21:49 UTC1. Jan. 30, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
KalshiWill the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Manifold MarketsIf Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if the company currently known as Virgin Galactic still exists in a recognisable form* on January 1st 2030
- Resolves NO otherwise, and may resolve earlier if it is sufficiently clear that it would resolve NO (eg bankruptcy with no signs of a possible revival)
- *To be considered a recognisable form:
- The company must be making progress towards (or currently operating) flights above 70km using an air launched spacecraft; and at least one of the following must still be true:
- 'Virgin' is still in its name (a brand name would count)
Offene Märkte
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 82.112 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 17.861,4 €
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 14.996 €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.651,5 €
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? entschieden?
- Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria