Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 85.1%
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet17. Juni 23, 06:20 UTC31. Dez. 29, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will USDT de-peg to less than 0.9 USD (90 cents) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether ever see a haircut?
Manifold MarketsUSDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026?
KalshiUSDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
KalshiWill USDT market cap hit $200B by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.
- Will use price data from one of the top exchanges at the time (e.g. today in 2023 I would use Coinbase).
- Background: USDT is a stablecoin managed by Tether (company).
- There have been rumors for a long time that Tether may not have enough assets to fully back the USDT stablecoins distributed in the crypto-economy (~$80B).
- If it were found that tether insolvent, or something else happened to shake confidence in USDT's redeemability to USD, then the price could depeg.
- I picked 1 week so it would indicate a serious issue, i.e. probably irredeemable reputational damage and likely leading to users abandoning the stablecoin.