Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 04:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 79.3%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet6. Apr. 26, 18:26 UTC31. März 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 70%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 70% for 2026 NO if: TOPCon share < 70% for 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
