Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 51%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet16. März 26, 10:04 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before the 5th Bitcoin halving?
Manifold MarketsWill Timothee Chalamet and Kylie Jenner announce their engagement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?
Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiGodzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiThe Mongoose · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Timothée Chalamet wins an Academy Award (in any category) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution will be verified via the official Academy Awards website or major entertainment news outlets reporting the award win.
- The market resolves NO if he does not win an Oscar by the deadline.
- Chalamet has received four Academy Award nominations, most recently at the 2026 Oscars.
- He was previously nominated for Call Me by Your Name in 2018 and A Complete Unknown in 2025, and was nominated for Best Actor in a Leading Role for his portrayal of Marty Mauser in Marty Supreme at the 2026 ceremony.