Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 76.1%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
18. Nov. 25, 00:42 UTC31. Dez. 30, 15:26 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Wicked still be on Broadway at the end of June 2029?
Manifold MarketsGodzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiBroadway total attendance · week ending Oct 25, 2026
KalshiHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
KalshiWhen will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Universal Pictures officially announces a third theatrical film in the Wicked movie franchise.
- The announcement must come from Universal Pictures or a major entertainment news outlet (Variety, Deadline, The Hollywood Reporter, or similar) confirming that a "Wicked 3" or equivalent third installment is in development or greenlit for theatrical release.
- This market resolves NO if: (1) Universal does not announce a third film by December 31, 2030, or (2) Universal explicitly states the franchise will conclude with two films, or (3) any announced third installment is cancelled before theatrical release.
- The Wicked film adaptation is structured as a two-part film that tells the story of Elphaba and Glinda's friendship and rivalry in the Land of Oz before and after the arrival of Dorothy Gale from Kansas.
- Wicked: For Good is scheduled to be released on November 21, 2025.