Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2030 or later 39.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet11. Apr. 26, 01:18 UTC1. Jan. 31, 02:16 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Oscar nominees: Best International Feature Film
KalshiOscar nominees: Best Animated Feature Film
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
PolymarketRegeln
Paul Thomas Anderson’s most recent film, One Battle After Another, was released on September 26, 2025, going on to win six Academy Awards including Best Picture and Best Director — PTA’s first career Oscar win.
- This question asks when his next feature film will be released theatrically.
- Resolution criteria:
- • Resolves based on the first theatrical release date (limited or wide) of PTA’s next feature film
- • Must be a narrative feature film directed by PTA
- • Does not count documentary work, short films, or music videos
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2030 or later mit 40% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released? entschieden?
- When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Paul Thomas Anderson’s most recent film, One Battle After Another, was released on September 26, 2025, going on to win six Academy Awards including Best Picture and Best Director — PTA’s first career Oscar win.