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Veraltet7. Feb. 25, 23:43 UTC2. Jan. 28, 02:59 UTC
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By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?
Manifold MarketsWill there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Background Elon Musk has reported facing multiple assassination attempts, including two near Tesla's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas in recent months.
- As CEO of multiple high-profile companies (Tesla, SpaceX, X) and one of the world's wealthiest individuals, Musk maintains a controversial public presence and has been involved in various political discussions.
- He has previously acknowledged increasing his security measures in response to threats.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk before December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- A credible attempt must meet at least one of the following criteria:
- Law enforcement confirms an assassination attempt
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $78,500 or above98%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 864.777,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 863.218,9 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 442.701,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt35.9%
- 180-199+0.5pt35%
- 220-239+4.0pt15.5%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+12.5pt67.3%
- <40-8.0pt16.8%
- 65-89-4.0pt13.9%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,480 or above98%
- $2,440 or above98%
- $2,400 or above97%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 145.601 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 145.305,9 €
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No73.7%
- Yes26.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 133.590,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 133.458,8 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 81% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027 entschieden?
- Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027 soll am 2. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Background Elon Musk has reported facing multiple assassination attempts, including two near Tesla's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas in recent months.