Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 51.8%
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31
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet29. Feb. 24, 03:59 UTC2. Jan. 40, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
KalshiWill Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by which date?
PolymarketWill Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
KalshiRegeln
Any expansion of the court beyond 9 members, whatever the stated justification, counts as court-packing.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040? entschieden?
- Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040? soll am 2. Januar 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Any expansion of the court beyond 9 members, whatever the stated justification, counts as court-packing.