Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 07:03 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 53.1%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juni 25, 17:24 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Central banks around the world keep big “rainy-day” funds called foreign-exchange (FX) reserves.
- These reserves are mostly held in a few major currencies—like the U.S. dollar, the euro, etc—so a country can pay its international bills or stabilize its own currency.
- Every three months the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes a report, called COFER (Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves), that shows exactly what share of those global reserves sits in each currency.
- As of 2024, about 58% of the money in those reserves is in U.S. dollars.
- This question asks if the dollar’s share will ever fall below 50% before January 1, 2040 which will indicate the U.S. Dollar loosing its reserve currency status.
- Resolution Criteria:
