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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?
Manifold Markets

Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?

KITechnikOne-Off23J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
Ja 50%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker

10

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Tagen

Veraltet
8. Apr. 26, 12:4631. Dez. 49, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes50%

Regeln

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,686.76+1.64%EthereumETH$1,653.24+0.93%SolanaSOL$64.91+0.57%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.75%BNBBNB$596.60+1.44%XRPXRP$1.11-0.40%

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Regeln

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.