Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 55.9%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet17. März 25, 18:05 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketBitcoin all time high by which date?
PolymarketKOSPI all-time high before 2028?
PolymarketWill the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.
- Only closing prices will be considered.
- For example:
- The S&P 500 current closing ATH is 6,144.15.
- If it falls below 3072.28 (50% drop) at any point before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
- If the S&P 500 reaches a new ATH (e.g., 10,000) and then falls below 5,000 (50% drop from that new ATH) before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
Offene Märkte
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79%
- Apple-0.7pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 90.997,6 €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,6 Mio. €
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+5.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down75.3%
- Up24.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27.439 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.444,2 €
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 31.249,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.0pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 56% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? entschieden?
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? soll am 31. Dezember 2039 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.