Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 78.8%
Prognostiker
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Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert1. Jan. 26, 03:59 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in the period from 2026 to 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the world population decrease before 2035?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiWill the S&P finish positive this year?
KalshiHow high will the S&P get this year?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.
- Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day will not be considered.
- Weekend closes count: The market will consider close-to-close price movements from Friday to Monday as a single day-to-day comparison for the purposes of determining if there was a >5% decrease.
Offene Märkte
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.6pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 105.236,4 €
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 27,510 or above99%
- 28,550 or above98%
- 29,130 or above98%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 102.468,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,650 or above99%
- 7,600 or above99%
- 7,655 or above+31.0pt99%
+67 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 46.703 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9917.1%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9915.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt10.5%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 184.926,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+32.1pt99%
- Up-32.1pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 41.330,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 38.937,4 €
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? entschieden?
- Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.