Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies?
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Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 85.6%
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet24. Aug. 24, 04:37 UTC1. Jan. 47, 07:59 UTC
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At the time of Elon’s death, will the website/app formerly known as Twitter (currently called X, probably to be called something else) still be functioning at the time of Elon’s death?
- Resolves NO if the website goes down for at least 1 month, while Elon is alive.
- Down will be determined as at least 2 out of the following being true for the month:
- No new people can join the site (true of the average person).
- The average person is unable to post new content to their account.
- There is no functioning home page or timeline.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies? entschieden?
- Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies? soll am 1. Januar 2047 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: At the time of Elon’s death, will the website/app formerly known as Twitter (currently called X, probably to be called something else) still be functioning at the time of Elon’s death?