Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69.5%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet1. Okt. 23, 22:15 UTC21. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.
- Current and past presidents who get re-elected don't count.
- Resolves YES if a scandal about sexual impropriety that happened in office comes out that hits many of the major news sources while they're still in office, otherwise NO after their term(s) are finished.
- As this might resolve after their first term if they don't get re-elected, this won't be re-resolved if they go on to serve split terms and have such a scandal in their second unconnected term.
- This question's close date is likely to be extended by future election results.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? entschieden?
- Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.