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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet1. Apr. 26, 12:52 UTC1. Apr. 29, 12:37 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will the next Pope be?
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KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Italy crashed out of qualifying for the World Cup.
- Does narrative causality dictate the next pope is going to be Italian?
- Resolution Criteria.
- I will be liberal in interpreting what counts as Italian.
- At least one italian grandparent counts, but not recursively.
- Having been an immigrant to Italy for over three years at time of enthronement counts.
Offene Märkte
SportsKALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Ben Shelton+49.0pt70.3%
- Carlos Alcaraz-49.0pt29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21,2 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Quarter Finals match
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt59.7%
- Carlos Alcaraz40.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 459.675,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5+37.5pt100%
- Alcaraz Set 2 Winner+67.5pt100%
- Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5+39.5pt100%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Bayern Munich13.3%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,6 Mio. €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle6.6%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 74 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Alexander Zverev+11.0pt38%
- Ben Shelton+20.0pt28%
- Carlos Alcaraz-37.0pt19%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,8 Mio. €
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MVP Winner?
- New England vs Seattle
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 3 Winner
- Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Total Games
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next pope be Italian??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next pope be Italian? entschieden?
- Will the next pope be Italian? soll am 1. April 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next pope be Italian? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Italy crashed out of qualifying for the World Cup.