Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 73%
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12
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet23. Apr. 23, 12:06 UTC31. Dez. 50, 22:59 UTC
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This question will resolve as YES if the Arctic region experiences an ice-free summer by the year 2050.
- An ice-free summer is defined as a period of at least five consecutive days during which the Arctic sea ice extent is less than one million square kilometers, as measured by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
- The NSIDC uses a 30-year baseline (1981-2010) to calculate average sea ice extent, and an ice-free summer would represent a significant departure from this baseline.
- The question will resolve as NO if the Arctic region does not experience an ice-free summer by the year 2050, or if the data is inconclusive.
Offene Märkte
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 586.176 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 568.367,7 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 108.240,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 108.240,4 €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 73% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050? entschieden?
- Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050? soll am 31. Dezember 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question will resolve as YES if the Arctic region experiences an ice-free summer by the year 2050.