Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
PolitikMonthlyUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20269T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 82.3%
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet5. März 26, 19:59 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
Manifold MarketsWill the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 1% or more of the vote?
Manifold MarketsWill the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 2% or more of the vote?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill James Talarico outperform the polls?
PredictItWill James Talarico outperform the polls?
KalshiRegeln
In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.
- This market resolves YES if the difference between Talarico's and the winner's vote share in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas is strictly less than that, and resolves NO otherwise
