Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.3%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet15. Mai 26, 20:37 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Stephen Colbert run for a high US elected office before July 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Stephen Colbert do after Late Night ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028?
PredictItWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will run for president in 2028?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Stephen Colbert files the necessary paperwork with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for President.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Stephen Colbert or his representatives, or by documentation available via the Federal Election Commission website: https://www.fec.gov/data/candidates/?office=P&election_year=2028.
- Stephen Colbert, host of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, famously ran a satirical campaign for President in 2008, where he sought to appear on the ballot in South Carolina.
- While he has frequently engaged in political commentary and satire regarding presidential elections, he has never pursued a legitimate candidacy for the office.
