Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.3%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
6. Okt. 26, 20:52 UTC9. Okt. 26, 20:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Resolves YES if, after market creation and through Friday October 9, 2026 at 4:00 p.m. America/New_York (20:00 UTC), the S&P 500 cash price index (SPX / ^GSPC) records a regular-session intraday level of at least 8,000.
- An exact touch counts; no closing level is required.
- Otherwise NO.
- Only the cash price index counts, not SPY, futures, perpetuals, CFDs or total-return indices.
- Earlier touches do not count.
- YES may resolve early using a timestamped cash-index quote or session high from WSJ or MarketWatch, corroborated by the other provider or S&P Dow Jones Indices.