Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 64.2%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet2. Sept. 23, 07:33 UTC31. Dez. 34, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?
KalshiSpain's population end of 2026? [in MM]
Manifold MarketsWill If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
Manifold MarketsHarry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
Kalshi60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
KalshiHow many of the 50 celebrities on DeathList 2026 will pass away?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This question is defining 'bullfighting' as 'an event where in the normal course of events a bull is killed in the ring'.
- There are other styles of bullfighting, notably Portuguese, where the bull is attacked in the ring and slaughtered outside of it after the event.
- Because this question is trying to measure the likelihood of Spain making a national move on this issue, I am adopting a more realistic interpretation of what a 'ban' might look like.
- This will resolve YES if Spain bans bullfighting where the bull is killed in the ring by close of question time.
- It will resolve NO otherwise.
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 64% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035? entschieden?
- Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035? soll am 31. Dezember 2034 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question is defining 'bullfighting' as 'an event where in the normal course of events a bull is killed in the ring'.