Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Sean Strickland suffer from dementia before age 60??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 61.1% (Stand: 27. Oktober 2026).

Will Sean Strickland suffer from dementia before age 60?

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 61.1%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

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Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden

Veraltet

8. Juli 23, 22:58 UTC28. Feb. 51, 04:59 UTC

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Resolves "Yes" if I see evidence that Sean Strickland shows several dementia symptoms.

Otherwise resolves "No" if he doesn't meet the criteria when he turns 60.
If he first dies for an unrelated reason, then resolves "N/A" and refunds the trades.
If he is alive but completely vanishes from public view, then I might resolve "N/A" if his health goes unconfirmed after age 55.