Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out any award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing?
One-OffTechnikWissenschaftManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.7%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet27. Nov. 22, 21:10 UTC1. Jan. 00, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=902
- This market resolves YES if any such award is paid, of any amount.
- It resolves NO if Scott announces that scalable quantum has been conclusivly demonstrated as possible and the award is impossible to win.
- If the award is invalidated for any other reason, this resolves N/A. For a market that's only about his full $100,00 award that scalable quantum computing is impossible, see here:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/will-scott-aaronson-ever-pay-out-hi)
