Will Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms?
PolitikOne-OffUS-Zwischenwahlen 2026US-PolitikWahl30T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
25. Okt. 26, 18:01 UTC30. Nov. 26, 11:00 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Republican Party wins a majority of seats (at least 218 seats) in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections.
- Resolution will be determined once all race results are officially certified or when major decision desks (e.g., AP News, Decision Desk HQ) project a Republican majority.
- If Democrats or any other coalition win 218 or more seats, this market resolves to NO.
- Note on wording: Subjective terms in the title such as "surprisingly" are disregarded for resolution; the market resolves strictly on whether Republicans retain or win control of the House.
- The 2026 United States midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, with all 435 voting seats in the House of Representatives on the ballot.