Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.8%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
31. März 26, 12:06 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- OpenAI has not officially announced an IPO, but the market resolves YES if OpenAI lists on Nasdaq on or before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be confirmed via Nasdaq's official listing announcements at https://www.nasdaq.com/.
- If OpenAI lists on a different exchange (NYSE, etc.) or after December 31, 2026, the market resolves NO.
- Every signal from the company and its investors points to a filing in the second half of 2026, with a potential listing in Q4 2026 or Q1 2027.
- OpenAI has surpassed $25 billion in annualized revenue, closed the largest private funding round in history at $110 billion, and is now in active discussions with Wall Street banks about a public listing that could value it near $1 trillion.