Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026?
Anleihen & StaatsanleihenOne-OffGeopolitikNaher OstenChinaManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (99%)
Entschieden: 30.09.2026, 20:28
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.09.2026, 23:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes1%
No99%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
PolymarketUSD x Iranian rials End of October?
PolymarketAnother Iranian Ambassador expelled by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Israel next strike Iranian territory? (window closes Nov 30, 2026)
Manifold MarketsWill China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the U.S. Treasury's OFAC newly designates a bank headquartered in mainland China and the designation explicitly cites facilitating trade with Iran or Iranian oil.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Designations of non-bank companies, Hong Kong-only entities, or banks designated solely for unrelated conduct do not count.
- Primary source: OFAC sanctions programs and press releases.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
