Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 52.2%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet4. Mai 26, 20:35 UTC31. Mai 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nord Pool 2027 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh?
Manifold MarketsNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if the Nord Pool Nordic system price time-weighted annual average for calendar year 2028 exceeds €45/MWh, as reported by Nord Pool in its annual market summary and on the Nord Pool day-ahead price dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing Nord Pool time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.