Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 80.8%
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8
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert14. Dez. 25, 20:37 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsWill Destiny vote for the democrat candidate in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
My mom voted for Trump 3 times in a row, and the last time she voted for a Democrat was Clinton 1996.
- However, she has stated she would vote for Talarico over Paxton in the Texas Senate race and she would have supported Bernie in 2016 over Trump.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will my mom vote for a Democrat in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 81% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will my mom vote for a Democrat in 2026? entschieden?
- Will my mom vote for a Democrat in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will my mom vote for a Democrat in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: My mom voted for Trump 3 times in a row, and the last time she voted for a Democrat was Clinton 1996.